Monday 14 May 2018

Federal Express (FEDEX) Strategic analysis







                                                            Executive Summary
            The need for the services of logistic companies has experienced a geometric increase in recent times, fueled by the spike in online shopping. Our company focus on this strategic analysis is the Federal Express (FedEx), established on April 17, 1973, by W. Smith a Yale graduate. However, the explosion of online shopping with its associated shipment of packaged goods (Business to customers) has created a vacuum (a niche) due to the over-tasked of exiting ground delivery services. In 2017, there was a "14.7 percent jump in shop-and-ship commerce, online spending since the start of November has topped $1 billion every day and exceeded $65 billion by Dec. 5" (kansascity.com, 2017).
            However, logistic companies have not been able to meet up with the demand for their services because they lack the capacity to fulfill these deliveries. This is largely due to the firm’s limited resources and unpreparedness for such geometric increase for parcel delivery. The United Parcel Service (UPS) according to Reuter "posted a $1.1 billion profit $1.27 per share, in the quarter compared with a year-ago loss of $239 million, or 27 cents" (Blake M., 2017). Even though the company was not able to meet all its scheduled parcel deliveries, the firm still recorded a substantial gain in 2017, the majority of which came from ground delivery.

            Therefore, our strategic plan includes repositioning the FedEx ground delivery service to capture this externality and increase ground delivery services revenue by 20 percent. Using the EFE and IFE matrices, we determined that Amazon accounts for about half or 53 percent of the United States online sales. Although the company is entering the logistics business, we believe the rate of shop-and-ship commerce will double that of last year.  "According to the survey of 1,000 U.S. consumers from online grocery technology firm Unata and order fulfillment platform ShopperKit, 36% plan to shop online for groceries this year, up from 22% in 2017 and 19% in 2016" (Melton, J., 2018). However, the existing system is not capable of meeting the demand for on-time delivery, especially during the peak period.

            To address the above problem, we recommended a strategic alternative for FedEx based on the results of various strategical analysis tools used that converged to the same conclusion i.e., the need for FedEx to expand its ground delivery service. Further, this strategic alternative consists of opening new Hubs, increasing ground delivery vehicles and delivery drivers. However, adopting these alternative strategies has its associated advantages and threats.
             Some of the advantages of expanding its ground delivery system are for the firm to effectively capture the benefits of the spike in online purchases. Furthermore, opening more Pickup/Delivery Stations and (Hubs) can ensure speed of shipment and delivery. However, one of the major impediment to this strategy is the cost associated with increasing its delivery fleets and drivers. Therefore, channeling a portion of the Tax cut windfall to purchasing these vehicles and hiring new delivery drivers will yield a return on investment in the long-run based on the result of the strategic analysis.



Introduction
            This paper aims to analyze FedEx’s current strategy using some strategical analytical tools like the External Factor Evaluation(EFE) matrix, and the Internal Factor Evaluation (IFE) matrix. Further, tools like the SWOT analysis and other matrix methods will be utilized to strategically analyze the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats to FedEx as an entity. At the end of this paper, we hope to recommend the best strategy or alternatives for FedEx to ensure the firm can maximize its return on investment.


The History of Federal Express (FedEx)
            Federal Express (FedEx) is the brainchild of Yale graduate Frederick W. Smith. As an undergraduate, Smith wrote a term paper on logistical challenges facing pioneering firms in the IT industry. The paper proposed an industry that changed current operations by pioneering firms. Per Smith’s analysis, a large percentage of "airfreight shippers relied on passenger route systems, but those did not make economic sense for urgent shipments, Smith wrote" (FedEx, n. d). However, Smith suggested a system designed solely to cater for time-sensitive shipments such as "medicine, computer parts, and electronics. Smith’s professor apparently didn’t see the revolutionary implications of his thesis, and the paper received just an average grade"(FedEx, n. d).
            After a career in the Military, Smith bought the controlling interest in Arkansas Aviation Sales in Little Rock, Arkansas in 1971 (about.van.fedex.com, n. d). It was during business operations that he discovered how difficult it was shipping a consignment from one location to the other within one to two days. He sought to find a developed a better way, the result was the birth of Federal Express as we know it. The name "Federal Express" was chosen to be "patriotic meaning associated with the word “federal” suggested an interest in the nationwide economic activity. He also hoped the name would resonate with the Federal Reserve Bank, a potential customer"(FedEx, n. d).
             The organization started operation on April 17, 1973, with three hundred and eighty-nine employees. Today, the firm serves two hundred and twenty countries with a total revenue of 50.4 billion in 2016 generated by three hundred and forty thousand employees. Presently, the firm has eight-line extensions which include: FedEx Services, FedEx office, FedEx Express, FedEx trade networks, FedEx ground, FedEx Supply chain, FedEx Freight, and FedEx Custom critical. (investors.fedex.com, n. d). Further, the firm has diversified from freight delivery to including services like sales, marketing, information technology, communications, customer services, and so forth. Per FedEx’s website, "FedEx Services integrates the technology and services customers need. It includes solutions for global supply chains, e-commerce, or any of today’s business challenges"(about.van.fedex.com. n. d).
            The company started with fourteen Dassault Falcon jets and delivered packages to twenty-five cities in their first year. In 1983, the firm attains $1 billion in revenue making the firm the first company to realize such returns without merger and acquisition. The company began regular operations in European cities in 1985 and established direct operations in Dubai, UAE in 1989 (FedEx, n. d).


 Vision and Mission Statement
It is no surprise that the firm's vision statement is, "leading the way" (mba-tutorials.com, n. d) which correlates with the firm's history of innovation. The company mission statement sheds more light into the firm's strategy, its mission statement reads

FedEx Corporation will produce superior financial returns for its shareowners by providing high value-added logistics, transportation, and related business services through focused operating companies. Customer requirements will be met in the highest quality manner appropriate to each market segment served. FedEx will strive to develop mutually rewarding relationships with its team members, partners, and suppliers. Safety will be the first consideration in all operations. Corporate activities will be conducted to the highest ethical and professional standards (FedEx, n. d)
            David and David, (2017), beliefs that a firm's mission statement should be customer oriented and covers core areas of the firm’s business. A closer look at the entity's mission statement shows that the firm is profit driven since one of its goals is to produce returns on investment for shareholders by "providing high-value-added logistics, transportation, and related business services through focused operating companies"(about.van.fedex.com, n. d). Further, the focus of the firm is also on its customer as highlighted in its mission statement. FedEx also placed a higher priority on its employees, promote its public image by emphasizing safety and ethical behavior.
            The deregulation of the airline industries in 1977, meant that start-up firms like FedEx could acquire large planes to boost service delivery, especially in the overnight package delivery. FedEx currently operates a fleet of over 700 aircraft. It is also owns, the "world’s largest fleet of aircraft "(Murray M., 2018). FedEx is the largest operator of the Airbus A300, Airbus A310, ATR 42, Boeing 727, Cessna 208, McDonnell Douglas MD-10, and the McDonnell Douglas MD-11 aircraft. Furthermore, the firm became public in 1978, and "made a profit of $258.5 million of $21.4 million on sales of $258.5 million with 65,000 packages a day to 89 cities across the United States"(Murray M., 2018).
            However, in 1984, the firm made its first acquisition by buying the controlling shares of Gelco Express (investors.fedex.com, n. d). Gelco, a packaging company based in Minneapolis serving about eight-four around the world, the acquisition helped FedEx develop its international package route. As of 1987, the firm was servicing ninety countries around the world with landing rights in five major airports outside of the United States. The countries include; London, Montreal, Brussels, Toronto, and a limited right in Tokyo, it also acquired Tiger International, a heavy cargo airline for $883 Million to expand international dominance in package delivery (Adelson, A., 1988).

FedEx External Assessment
            The external environment of FedEx consists of all external factors affecting its business operations that are beyond its immediate control. Such external environment forces could affect the firm directly or indirectly. The direct external environmental can have an immediate firsthand impact on the firm. Conversely, the indirect external environmental forces may have a minimum impact on the operation of a firm. However, such indirect external environmental forces can sometimes affect the organization's operations directly. For instance, a state or federal law can affect the interest of the firm directly. Further, government regulations, weather, the economy, competition strategies, and a new entrance are some of these external opportunities or threats facing FedEx.
            Therefore, to understand the FedEx external environment forces affecting the firm positively or negatively, we will employ the External Factor Evaluation matrix (EFE matrix) and Competition Profile Matrix (CPM) to strategically analyze these threats and weigh them in order of importance. “An External Factor Evaluation (EFE) Matrix allows strategist to summarize and evaluate the economic, social, cultural, demographic, environmental, political, governmental, legal, technological, and competitive information” (David &David, 2017).
                   
                            FedEx External Factor Evaluation matrix (EFE Matrix)

Opportunities
Weight
Rating
Weighted Score
1
Amazon account for 53% of online purchases in the United States
0.05
3
0.15
2
GOP Tax Plan
0.02
3
0.06
3
96% of American now shop online
0.04
4
0.16
4
UPS withdrew an offer to buy TNT due to regulatory issues.
0.09
3
0.27
5
A 2016 study of the U.S. consumers released by Deloitte find that Millennials said they would pay a premium for faster delivery (Brien, M., 2016).
 0.10
4
0.4
6
Customers dissatisfaction with Amazon delivery charges
0.04,
2
0.08
7
U.S government corporate tax cut
0.09
2
0.18
8
The UPS on-time package delivery rate during the holiday period (mid-December) falls lower than expectation
0.06
2
0.12
9
There has been consistent growth in online purchases
0.05
3
0.15
10
Lower inflation rate
0.02
3
0.06

Threats
Weight
Rating
Weighted Score
11
Amazon Inc. is experimenting with a new delivery service intended to make more products available for free two-day delivery and relieve overcrowding in its warehouses
0.10
4
0.33
12
The millennial generation is much less loyal to legacy brands than generations past
0.07
2
0.14
13
Increasing reach by competitors
0.05
3
0.06
14
Increased Transport cost
0.03
1
0.03
15
Changes in the Oil price
0.03
2
0.04
16
Economy
0.03
1
0.03
17
Global cyber-attack
0.02
3
0.09
18
Surge in smaller courier services,
0.05
3
0.15
19
Amazon purchase new Jets
0.03
2
0.06
20
USPS starts Sunday Delivery
0.04
0
0

Total
1.00

2.53


                                          Analysis of External Evaluation (EFE) Matrix
The analysis of the result for FedEx using the EFE matrix will be broken down into two spectrums; FedEx external opportunities and its threats.
External Opportunities: Our EFE matrix results shows a higher weighted score of 0.4 for the customer's willingness to pay a higher price for on-time delivery. Further, a higher weighted score mark for Amazon’s increased dominance in online sales. Amazon accounted for 53% of total online sales in the United states hence, although the firm has it’s a delivery service, it still relies on firms like Logistic firms like FedEx to guarantee customer’s satisfaction through on-time delivery. Another opportunity that was exploited by FedEx was the acquisition of TNT due to the failure of UPS to steal a deal with the firm due to anti-trust laws in Europe per report on the company’s website (Logisticsmanagement, n. d). The Acquisition of TNT further expand the rich of FedEx in its European market. “FedEx is one of the smallest logistics integrators in Europe with a market share of 5%. DHL leads with 19%, followed by UPS at 16% and TNT at 12% “(FedEx, n. d).
External threats: The recent move by Amazon Inc. to introduce the Amazon delivery service as a direct competition to FedEx shows a weighted score of 0.33, making it the highest threats facing the firm, this is mostly due to the financial position of the firm.
However, to counter the proliferation of new delivery services in the United States and the move by the Amazon to establish a delivery service, FedEx acquired TNT to boost its international presence, especially in Europe. However, to remain viable in the European market, UPS acquired Ireland Based Nightline Logistic Group as an alternative to their unsuccessful bid for TNT (UPSpressroom, 2017).



Competition Profile Matrix, (CPM)



FedEx
UPS
Amazon
Critical Success Factors
Weight
Rating
Score
Rating
Score
Rating
Score
Global Expansion
0.20
3
0.6
4
0.8
1
0.2
Advertising
0.10
2
0.2
3
0.3
4
0.4
Market Share
0.14
4
0.56
3
0.42
1
0.14
Financial Position
0.16
3
0.48
2
0.32
4
0.64
Management
0.08
3
0.24
3
0.24
3
0.24
Investment in infrastructure
0.09
4
0.36
3
0.27
4
0.36
Corporate social responsibility,
0.06
2
0.12
3
0.18
3
0.16
Consumer loyalty
0.09
2
0.18
2
0.18
3
0.27
Price, competitiveness
0.08
4
0.32
3
0.24
4
0.32
Total
1.00

3.06

2.15

2.73


Analysis of Competition Profile Matrix, (CPM)
            A score of 0.42 in market shares makes UPS a major rival to FedEx. However, Amazon’s financial position makes it a major plyer in the logistic delivery environment. Albeit, the Amazon delivery service is in its infant stage, the firm is investing in new delivery technologies. For instance, the firm is considering drone delivery service to ensure on-time delivery of packages to its customers. Conversely, FedEx major competitor; United Parcel Services is investing in cleaner and more environmentally friendly package delivery by introducing three-wheeler delivery cars. Further, there is a strong drive for investment in infrastructure by FedEx and Amazon to meet the increase in demand for fast shipping. To this end, the firm is leading the charge new technologies, better sorting, better hub, newer planes and trucks.

Conclusion
            Online shopping has increased significantly in the past couple of years, customers now shop from their phones and other mobile device and expect fast shipping. An analysis by Slice Intelligence shows that 43% of all online sales were through the Amazon’s website in 2016. Further, online retail sales in the United States hit 322.17bn dollars in 2016. Therefore, it's concomitant benefits for logistic companies cannot be overemphasized. Last year, most major logistic companies including the United Postal service were overwhelmed by holiday delivery demand, which resulted in delay in parcel delivery. Therefore, the ability of a firm like FedEx to capture such opportunity effectively and ensure no lag in delivery will determine its future in its industrial environment. FedEx has been able to tap into this new buying trend by investing in infrastructures and increasing its presence in the Europe.
 Further, to meet the demand for on-time delivery, FedEx has recently increased its package delivery price per the survey conducted that indicated customers are willing to pay a higher price for fast delivery. Although there are strong competitions from UPS and Amazon, FedEx has been able to lead the pack due to its strategic management approach to changing market dynamics. Therefore, FedEx must increase its ground package delivery presence to enable it to capture the growing need for on time delivery necessitated by growth on online sales.
Internal Assessment/Audit
            Internal assessment or audit is the process of "examination, monitoring, and analysis of activities related to a company's operations, including its business structure, employee behavior, and information system" (Investopedia.com, n. d). Therefore, internal audit allows the firm to know its strength and weaknesses also, enable the firm to identify and develop its core competence to turn such competence it into "distinctive competence", i.e. a competitive advantage, the firm has over its competitors (David & Davis, 2017). Furthermore, such an audit will allow the firm to know what its weaknesses are and the best countermeasure(s) to advert such risk. FedEx's strengths and weaknesses will be assessed using the Internal Factor Evaluation Matrix (IFE Matrix) and the Financial Ratio method to determine its financial position.



FedEx Internal Strengths

Internal Evaluation Matrix of FedEx

Strength
Weight
Rating
Weighted Score
1
Brand equity
0.09
4
0.36
2
Market leader
0.05
3
0.15
3
Strong Management
0.05
3
0.15
4
Financial Leverage
0.06
2.5
0.15
5
Infrastructure
0.07
3
0.21
6
Innovative technology
0.06
3.2
0.19
7
Human Capital
0.05
3
0.15
8
Customer Relationship management
0.04
3
0.12
9
Good reputation for on time Delivery
0.02
3.5
0.07
10
Drivers are independent contractor
0.02
3.8
0.076

Weaknesses



11
High relative price
0.03
2
0.06
12
Weak international presence
0.05
2
0.1
13
Decline in market Share
0.05
2
0.15
14
Labor dispute with Pilots
0.04
1
0.4
15
Ground delivery service
0.06
2
0.12
16
Small package delivery
0.08
2
0.16
17
Cost
0.05
2
0.1
18
 Ground delivery service
0.06
1
0.06
19
Little Differentiation from major competitor
0.05
1
0.05
20
Economic conditions
0.02
2
0.04

Total
1.00

2.87



Financial Ratio
Ratio
Methodology
FedEx Financial Statements
Implications/Analysis
2017
2016
Liquidity Ratio

Current ratio
Current asset/Current liability,
1.59
1.50
The result shows a steady growth of 0.09% in revenue
Quick Ratio
Current asset -inventory/current liability
1.53
1.45
The quick ratio indicates that for every $1 of current liabilities, the firm has $1.53 of very liquid assets to cover immediate obligation (InvestAnswers, n. d)
Leverage Ratio
Debt-to-Total-Assets Ratio
Total debt/Total assets
1.49
1.43
This shows the firm is in a good position to service its debt obligations $1 - $1.49 for every liability as of 2017.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Total debt/Total stockholder’s equity
2.02
2.33
The result shows that share holders’ equity is enough to service the company’s debt obligations.
Long-Term Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Long term debt/Total stockholder’s equity
0.92
0.10
The result shows a good financial leverage.
Time-Interest Earned Ratio
Profits before interest and taxes/Total interest charges
9.94
9.15
The time interest shows that the firm can service its annual of interest with the profit it generates.
Activity Ratios
Inventory Turnover

Sales/Inventory of finished goods
7.72
7.13
It shows that the company’s inventory turns over 7 times a year.
Fixed Assets Turnover
Sales/Fixed assets

0.15
0.16
0.01 decline in 2017 shows that the firm invested or over investing in fixed asset.
Total Assets Turnover
Sales/Total Assets
0.08
0.08
The result shows a good standing on its asset turnover per industrial standard.
Account Receivable Turnover
Account Receivable/Total credit sales/365 days
0.99
0.97
The average account receivable collection is an average of 2.7 days.
Profitability Ratios
Gross Profit Margin
Sales – Cost of Goods sold/ Sales
0.63
0.66
This shows a healthy gross margin for the firm
Operating Profit Margin
Earnings before Interest and taxes (EBIT)/Sales
0.08
0.06
The result shows a profitable company
Net profit Margin
Net income/Sales
0.05
0.04
The result shows a good net profit margin.
Return on Total Assets (ROA)
Net income/Total assets
0.06
0.03
The year 2017 produced a higher ROA for FedEx
Return on Stockholder’s Equity (ROE)
Net income/Total Stockholder’s equity
0.19
0.13
It is evidence that the firm is profitable with good returns on investment
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Net income/Number of Shares of common stock outstanding
3.45
2.83
The result shows an increase in EPS
Growth Ratios

Sales
Annual % of growth in total sales
0.17
0.06
The firm shows an 11% growth in Sales in 2017
Net Income

Annual % of growth in profit
0.14
0.08
A 6% increase in net income was recorded in 2017

       Data source: Nasdaq.com FedEx and Marketwatch.com Income statement and balance sheets

Analysis of Result
            Federal Express has been able to reposition itself by re-branding its name from FDX Corp to FedEx, the advantage of this is it makes it a household name due to its short form. Now, people looking for fast overnight shipping commonly refer to such service by saying "just FedEx it" (Motley, 2001) just like people use the name Xerox for a photocopy. Further, the company rank number thirty-seven on Forbes.com top hundred regarded companies list. (Forbes.com, 2017). This fact is not lost on the company, as it is reflected in its Internal Evaluation matrix with a weighted score of 0.36. Another internal strength that gives FedEx leverage in the market deals with the firm's infrastructure with 426 aircrafts plus a 25-on-order/planned (planespotters.com, 2018), an average of 90,000, motorized vehicles, and over 220,000 employees (FedEx, 2018).  The Financial Ratio matrix of FedEx shows a healthy company even with the emergence of new competitors in the market, the major one being the Amazon delivery service with a better financial position with total assets of 83,402,000 compared to FedEx 45,959,000 for the same year. 
Our Conclusion
            Our strategic analysis shows that although there have been stiff competitions from rivals like UPS and Amazon, FedEx financial position in the market has been a healthy one. Further, known for its innovativeness, the firm has been able to invest in infrastructure and expand its market environment by purchasing TNT so it can capture the European market. However, the appetite for online shopping has also drastically improved the fortune of courier companies. As more people abandon Brick and Mortal for online stores, the need for logistic service will increase. However, this result shows that FedEx needs to improve on its small package logistics segment to meet the demand of online shoppers who buy smaller items and expect fast shipment. Therefore, it is imperative for the firm to reposition itself to capture this lag in its business since the United States accounts for more than 50% of world online shopping and the firm's primary market. It follows that being able to meet and service this segment of the market, is paramount for the overall sustainability of the organization.


FedEx’s SWOT Matrix

Strength 

1.      Acquired TNT Express
2.      Brand name
3.      Financial stability
4.      USPS transportation agreement with FedEx (FedEx, 2017)
5.      Infrastructure
Weaknesses

1.      Independent contractors
2.      Integrating FedEx and TNT management
3.      Disgruntled employees
4.      Environmental Compliance
5.      International presence
6.      Low ground operation
Opportunities
1.      Tax cut,
2.      Access to TNT Express customers,
3.      Emerging Asian and European market,
4.      Deregulation of the trucking industry, (Marketingdawn.com, 2015),
5.      Increased in online purchases,
SO, strategies
1.      Expand its ground operations in the United States, (S5, and O5)
2.      Increase its presence in the Chinese market, (S3, and O3)
3.      Increase its European presence through advertisement campaigns, (S1, S3, and O1)
WO, strategies

1.      Formulate and implement better contract with independent contractors, (W1, W3, and O1),
2.      Increase presence in Asia and Europe (W5, and O3).

Threats
1.      Changes in fuel surcharge
2.      Macro-economic changes
3.      Data Breach or disruption in technology infrastructures
4.      Competition with UPS and Amazon
5.      United Kingdom vote to leave the European Union
6.      Disruption or modifications to United States Postal Service, services (FedEx, 2017).
7.      Foreign currency exchange rate

ST, Strategies

1.      Research and Development of Alternative fuel/vehicle to reduce cost of transportation, (S3, and T1),

2.      Expand its ground operations to meet the demand of online shoppers (S5, and T4),

WT, Strategies

1.      Provide better incentives to contract employees (W3, and T3)

2.      Invest in ground operation to compete effectively with UPS and Amazon and increase its domestic market share (W6, and T4),

                                   Source: FedEx and UPS 10K Report statement, 2017.
                                                                             
Analysis of Result
         FedEx's SWOT analysis shows a spectrum of strategies the form can take to increase Return on Investment or to remain competitive. For instance, its rival, UPS is using its windfall of extra cash to fund long-term goals. According to the Chairman and CEO, David Abney, " We will increase network investments and accelerate pension funding to strengthen the company for the long term, so that we maximize the benefit of our global customers, employees, and shareowners” (Mandel, E., 2018). Also, to increase revenue and capture more market share, the firm must invest in its ground delivery segment, the extra cash from the Tax reform can act as a source of fund or part of such endeavor.

          Further, A market development and penetration strategy is recommended as a tool to gain a foothold in the European and the Asian market with the firm’s acquisition of TNT Express. A portion of the Tax windfall is also recommended for its employees to boost morale in the workplace, especially with the prevailing discontentment within contract employees. Consequently, a more satisfied employee is motivated enough to align with the company's strategy to counter competition from rival firms. A case in point, the introduction of Amazon delivery to directly compete with FedEx.


Conclusion
  The SWOT matrix gave us an insight into the Strength and Weaknesses of FedEx also, the strategies that can be deployed to either counter or mine such opportunity/opportunities. To this point, we believe for FedEx to remain competitive, it must use its strengths to counter any threat(s) streaming from both its external and internal environment. In the same vein, avoid/mitigate threats or weaknesses that may pose a danger to its overall objective as an entity. Therefore, we recommend an increase in its ground operations, better incentive for contract employees, position itself to better counter Amazon and UPS ground delivery and invest in market development and penetration strategies to push its operations offshore.


Divisions
Revenue (M)
Major Competitor (UPS)
Profits
Relative Market share position
Industrial growth rate
FedEx express
26,451
12,350
2,519
2.14
4.35
FedEx Ground
16,574
27,467
2,276
0.60
0.28
FedEx Freight
6,200
2,736
426
2.27
0.03
Services
1,593
6,793
48
0.2
7.90
Aircraft Fleet
643
329
-
-
-
FedEx BCG Matrix





                                             
                  


FedEx BCG and IE Matrix Analysis of result

            The BCG matrix breaks FedEx into four segments, FedEx Express, FedEx Ground, FedEx Freight, and FedEx services. The matrix indicates that the FedEx Express division is the firm's Star segment tending towards the Cash Cow quadrant on the BCG matrix graph. The matrix also shows that the Services segment falls into the question mark of the BCG matrix quadrant with the Freight and Ground division falling into the Cash Cow and Dog Respectively.

            Similarly, our Internal Evaluation matrix shows FedEx Internal and External Factor Evaluation (IFE & EFE) matrix total weighted scores of both matrices. The result shows that both factors are within the average range for its industry with the 2.87 for its IFE total weighted score and 2.53 for its EFE. Both SWOT and IE matrix shows that the firm can improve its revenue by adopting a different strategic position (repositioning itself) within its industry.

Conclusion
            The result of our SWOT and IE matrix further supports our earlier recommendation. For instance, the boost in online sales with the associated shipment of packaged goods has boosted the revenue of logistic companies like UPS and FedEx. Although UPS enjoys a larger share of this windfall, we believe increasing its ground delivery service can change this trend. Furthermore, with so many brick and mortar firms switching to the online store to effectively compete with Amazon, logistic firms need to realize that even with the increase in competitions, there will be room for increase profit all year round.
            Therefore, firms are researching other cost-effective ways of meeting increasing demand for on-time package delivery. For instance, Amazon announced that it plans to deliver packages with Drones (Wang, D., 2015) in 2017.  According to Amazon CEO, Jeff Bezos, “I know this looks like science fiction,” the Amazon CEO told a 60 Minutes reporter, as he stood with several Amazon drones. “It’s not” (Wang, D., 2015). Business-to-Customer (B2C) is becoming prevalent, it is therefore imperative for the firm to develop their capacity to capture these externalities to ensure sustainable growth in revenue.

SPACE Matrix
Internal Strategic Position                                                                             External Strategic Position
Financial Position (FP)
Variable range
Stability Position (SP)
Variable range
Return on investment
 Leverage
 Liquidity ratio
 Working capital
 Cash flow
 Brand equity
1.8
4
6
5
5.2
6
Technology
Rate of inflation 
Demand variability
Competitive pressure
Business risk 
Ease of exit
-1
-2
-2
-6
-3
-7
Average Score
4.67

-3.5
Competitive Position (CP)


Industry Position (IP)





Market share
Customer loyalty
Financial position
Global expansion 
Capacity Utilization



-2
-1
-3
-4.6
-3.6


Growth potential,
Resource Utilization,
Financial stability,
profit potentials,
Ease on market entrance.


7
6
5
6
1
Average score
-2.84

5.0


           
Analysis of Space Matrix Result
                        The Financial Position (FP) graph shows that FedEx needs to adopt a market penetration and development strategy to compete effectively in its industry. Further, the firm is encouraged to pursue an aggressive strategy. Per David and David assertion, a "directional vector associated with each profile suggests the type of strategies to pursue" (David & David, 2017 p. 175). Therefore, looking at the resultant vector, it is imperative for FedEx to adopt strategies that follow the trends of its SPACE vector analysis by adopting its recommendations.
                        FedEx’s SPACE matrix shows that the firm should utilize its internal strength to take advantage of external opportunities and avoid any associated external threats (David & David, 2017 p. 175). For instance, the FP/IP quadrant shows that the firm has achieved a competitive edge in its industry with the point of the vector meeting at the intersection of 4.67 and 5.0. Similarly, the FP/CP quadrant shows a firm that is financially stable but lacks any competitive edge in its industry, the IP/SP and CP/SP quadrant shows an average growth in the industry (David & David, 2017, p. 176).
Conclusion
                        The result of our analysis shows that an aggressive profile is a suitable strategy for FedEx to enable the firm to compete effectively in its industry. Therefore, we recommend that FedEx upgrade its risk tolerance by taking some aggressive move to maximize its return on investment. Per Investopedia, "an aggressive investment strategy emphasizes capital appreciation as a primary investment objective, rather than income or safety of principal"(Investopedia, n. d). It went further to state that "such a strategy would, therefore, have an asset allocation with a substantial weighting in stocks, and a much smaller allocation to fixed income and cash" (Investopedia, n. d). Further, such strategy is important in an industry that is not stable due to the dynamics of threats of new entries (particularly Amazon) and the peak seasonal sales during the December holiday period.

Alternative Strategy
During the course of this research, we were able to discover some areas of FedEx division that are a turn-off to its customers. Our findings show that most of FedEx customers are mostly disappointed with the firm's ground services. Customers review data on the Better Business Bureau (BBB) shows that of all the divisions of FedEx operations, the FedEx Ground is the most lacking which further support our earlier result using the different matrix methodologies (bbb.org, 2018). To this point, we will like to suggest an alternative strategy for FedEx.
            The increase in online sales and the associated spike in online stores has open different spectrum of opportunities for a firm with strategic foresight, we believe that FedEx should not be left out in this windfall of the externalities of the online marketplace. Therefore, our alternative strategy entails opening new hubs to cater to the expanding market of online shopping. Further, we believe the firm should increase its number of part-time drivers during peak period. Also, increase number of delivery Vans (rent), to effectively cover its Ground operations and enforce its contract with the United States Postal Service (USPS) for last mile delivery.

            The United Parcel Services (UPS) saw a 2.3% increase in Ground delivery in its first quarter review in 2017 (UPS, 2017), there are indications that this year's revenue from Ground package delivery will surpass that of 2017.  This is largely due to the number of consumer goods firms closing their brick and mortar stores in favor of online stores which is growing exponentially. We believe there is a niche that can be captured by FedEx that can turn the Ground division from a Dog to a Star in firm's BCG matrix. Further, this strategy should be supported by aggressive marketing and promotion as supported by our SPACE matrix result above, however, such strategy change has its merits and demerits.
Strength
1.      Ground package delivery services deliver a consignment or package to the destination (customers), expanding such operation means packages are delivered on time with little lag time and ensure customers satisfaction
2.      Expanding ground delivery can increase return on revenue
3.      Ensures work-life balance for employees
4.      Such new hubs can act as a cushion during peak periods and increase delivery time
5.      Customer satisfaction due to timely delivery

Weaknesses
1.      Cost associated with creating new hubs and hire new drivers and expanding delivery vehicles








FedEx Perceptual Mapping

The Product positioning map or the Perceptual mapping is used by strategist to show how a company's product compares with that of its competitor(s) based on two variables. Further, such positioning allows a firm to make strategic decisions with the result of the perceptual mapping as a variable. The FedEx Product positioning mapping shows that FedEx is the market leader in price and speed of delivery. However, the Amazon delivery service tends between Slow/Expensive quadrant on the Perceptual mapping, this is due partly because of the firm being a neophyte in the industry. The United Parcel Service (UPS) positioning is closer to the Affordable/Fast quadrant due to the firm's major segment being its ground package delivery and are low in the price of delivery.

Implications

The FedEx Product positioning map shows that the firm is the market leader in the fast delivery service, however, such a positioning has its merits and demerits. A market leader in price means that the firm is maximizing its return on investment by capturing such niche. Essentially, most high price services ensure customers get their money value worth, for FedEx, that is fast delivery. However, Position as a high-cost service provider sometimes reduces the spectrum of customers that require such services. For instance, the geometric progression figures registered in online sales and the associated shipment of packages.

 What this means is that most of these packages come in different weight with more smaller packages accounting for a higher percentage. According to an article on logistics, the author noted that customers prefer shipping in a smaller size box to save cost. He noted that logistic "carriers will rate the package and charge you based on the higher weight" (McKenzie, G., 2016). However, the ground delivery segment has seen a boom due to the demand for courier service after an online purchase. Therefore, capturing the niche in the Affordable/Fast for the FedEx ground operation can allow it to capture the ground segment of the logistic services backed with the advertisement to create awareness.
FedEx Financial Projected Income and Balance Sheet for 2018




FedEx Projected Income Statement
Prior Year 2017
Amount
Projected Year 2018
Projected Year 2019
Projected Year 2020
Remark
Total revenue
$60,319,000
$72,382,800
$86,859,360
104,231,232
20% increase in revenue due to increase in Ground fleets and Ground services
Cost of Revenue
$22,017,000
$26,057,808
$31,269,369.6
$37,523,243.52
36% of revenue
Gross Margin
$38,302,000
$46,324,992
$55,589,990.4
$66,707,988.48


Sales, General and Admin
$30,270,000
$31,783,500
$33,372,675
$35,041,308.75
5% of Sales
Other operating items
2,995,000
$2,995,000
$2,995,000
$2,995,000


EBIT
$33,265,000
$34,778,500
$36,367,675
$38,036,308.75


Interest Expense
$512,000
$512,000
$512,000
$512,000


Earnings Before Tax
$32,753,000
$34,266,500
$35,855,675
$37,524,308.75


Income Tax
$1,582,000
$2,135,700
$2,883,195
$3,892,313.25
0.35% increase in Income tax
Operating Income
$31,171,000
$32,130,800
$32,972,480
$33,631,995.5


Net Income applicable to common shareholders
$31,171,000
$32,130,800
$32,972,480
$33,631,995.5










                                                2017 Data retrieved from (Nasdaq.com, 2017)








Projected Balance sheet for FedEx
Assets
Prior Year 2017
Projected Year 2018
Projected Year 2019
Projected Year 2020
Remark
Cash and Cash Equivalents
$3,969,000 (Nasdaq.com, 2017)         
$32,130,800
$33,719,975
$33,631,995.5


Net Receivables
$7,599,000 Nasdaq.com, 2017)         
$9,118,800
$10,942,560
$13,131,072
20% increase
Inventory
$514,000 Nasdaq.com, 2017)         
$514,000
$514,000
$514,000


Other Current Assets
$546,000 Nasdaq.com, 2017)         
$546,000
$546,000
$546,000


 Total Current Assets
12,628,000
$42,309,600
$45,722,535
$47,823,067.5


Liabilities
Account Payables
$7,896,000 Nasdaq.com, 2017)         
$8,685,600
$9,554,160
$10,509,576
1.0% increase in account payable
Short term Debt/Current portion of Long-Term Debt
22,000 Nasdaq.com, 2017)         
$1,493,200
$3,195,895
$3,681,496
Delivery Vans rental for peak period and delivery drivers


Total Current Liabilities
$7,918,000
$10,178,800
$12,750,055
$14,191,072


Retained Earnings
$4,710,000
$32,130,800
$32,972,480
$33,631,995.5


Total Liabilities and Net Worth
$12,628,000
$42,309,600
$45,722,535
$47,823,067.5











2017 Data retrieved from (Nasdaq.com, 2017)







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